Northeast Asia is the most developed region in Asia with large energy demand,and plays an important role in the global economic development.Northeast Asia has been facing severe challenges in ensuring energy security,protecting the environment,and coping with climate change,because of their high dependency on fossil fuels and imports of oil from outside the region,and inverse distribution between energy resources and demand.As an important part of Asian Energy Interconnection,the Northeast Asian Energy Interconnection is the core content and plays an important role in promoting the cooperation in Northeast Asia.It would strengthen the interconnection of the energy and power in the region,optimally allocate the energy resources and efficiently use the clean energy,deliver the sustainable development of the economy,society and environment in Northeast Asia,and promote the overall development ofAsian Energy Interconnection.
This study is one of Asian Energy Interconnection research series.The content is divided into 6 chapters: In Chapter 1,the development status of the economy,society,energy and power in Northeast Asia is introduced,advantages and challenges of sustainable development and energy transition are analyzed,and development ideas ofNortheast Asian Energy Interconnection are proposed.In Chapter 2,in order to achieve the temperature control target of Paris Agreement,the development trend of energy and power transition in Northeast Asia is prospected,with corresponding proposed scenarios.In Chapter 3,the distribution of clean energy resources and layout of large power generation bases are studied.In Chapter 4,based on the analysis of the power balance,the overall pattern and interconnection schemes of Northeast Asian power grid interconnection are proposed.In Chapter 5,comprehensive benefits from Northeast Asian Energy Interconnection are evaluated.In Chapter 6,policy and mechanism are proposed to related stakeholders.
1.本研究范圍涉及俄羅斯、蒙古、中國、日本、韓國和朝鮮6個國家,研究范圍全面廣泛且具體按照國別、地區(qū)進行研究與規(guī)劃,可供相關(guān)國家政府部門及學(xué)者進行參考。
2.內(nèi)容新穎權(quán)Q威,作者作為國際認可的研究機構(gòu),所進行的相關(guān)研究在國內(nèi),乃至國際均為S次提出,填補了研究領(lǐng)域的空白;研究成果為全球相關(guān)資質(zhì)、機構(gòu)等認可
1、 前言
Asia, being a large economy, is an important engine in driving world economic growth. Most Asian countries are developing countries with huge potential. However, Asia still faces challenges such as economic disparity, energy security and carbon emission reduction against climate change. The need for sustainable development is urgent. In essence, the core of sustainable development is clean development, of which the key is to promote Clean Replacement on the energy production side, and Electricity Replacement on the energy consumption side. Clean Replacement is to use clean alternatives in energy production, replacing fossil fuels with hydro, solar, and wind energy. Electricity Replacement is to promote electricity consumption by replacing the usage of coal, oil, natural gas and firewood with electricity. Asian Energy Interconnection is a modern energy system which is clean energy-dominated, electricity-centered, interconnected and shared by all. It is an important platform for large-scale exploitation, transmission and utilization of clean energy worldwide. Asia should push for an overall balanced development of its economy based on abundant clean energy and mineral resources, and
promote the transition to low-carbon energies. Regional integration and cooperation should be deepened to respond to climate change, and achieve the grand purpose of economic prosperity, social progress and ecological protection.
Northeast Asia is the most developed region in Asia with large energy demand, and plays an important role in the global economic development. Northeast Asia has been facing severe challenges in ensuring energy security, protecting the environment, and coping with climate change, because of their
high dependency on fossil fuels and imports of oil from outside the region, and inverse distribution between energy resources and demand. As an important part of Asian Energy Interconnection, the Northeast Asian Energy Interconnection is the core content and plays an important role in promoting the
cooperation in Northeast Asia. It would strengthen the interconnection of the energy and power in the region, optimally allocate the energy resources and efficiently use the clean energy, deliver the sustainable development of the economy, society and environment in Northeast Asia, and promote the overall development of Asian Energy Interconnection.
This study is one of Asian Energy Interconnection research series. The content is divided into 6 chapters: In Chapter 1, the development status of the economy, society, energy and power in Northeast Asia is introduced, advantages and challenges of sustainable development and energy transition are analyzed, and development ideas of Northeast Asian Energy Interconnection are proposed. In Chapter 2, in order to achieve the temperature control target of Paris Agreement, the development trend of energy and power transition in Northeast Asia is prospected, with corresponding proposed scenarios. In
Chapter 3, the distribution of clean energy resources and layout of large power generation bases are studied. In Chapter 4, based on the analysis of the power balance, the overall pattern and interconnection schemes of Northeast Asian power grid interconnection are proposed. In Chapter 5, comprehensive benefits from Northeast Asian Energy Interconnection are evaluated. In Chapter 6, policy and mechanism are proposed to related stakeholders.
This report could provide guidelines for governments, international organizations, energy enterprises, financial institutes, universities and relevant individuals in policy making, strategic research, technological innovation, project development, international cooperation, etc. However, there
might be inadequacies as data and time for research and compilation are limited. Comments and suggestions are welcome for further improvements.
全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展合作組織(簡稱合作組織),是由致力于推動世界能源可持續(xù)發(fā)展的相關(guān)企業(yè)、組織、機構(gòu)和個人等自愿組成的國際組織。注冊地設(shè)在北京。
合作組織的宗旨是推動構(gòu)建全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng),以清潔和綠色方式滿足全球電力需求,推動實現(xiàn)聯(lián)合國“人人享有可持續(xù)能源”和應(yīng)對氣候變化目標,服務(wù)人類社會可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
合作組織將積極推廣全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)理念,組織制定全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃,建立技術(shù)標準體系,開展聯(lián)合技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、重大問題研究和國際交流合作,推動工程項目實施,提供咨詢服務(wù),引領(lǐng)全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展。
Preface
Study Region
Summary
1 New Development Opportunities
for Northeast Asia / 01
1.1 Economy and Society / 02
1.1.1 Macro Economy / 02
1.1.2 Humanity and Society / 03
1.1.3 Regional Cooperation / 05
1.1.4 Development Strategy / 07
1.2 Energy and Power / 08
1.2.1 Energy Development / 08
1.2.2 Power Development / 12
1.3 Sustainable Development Ideas / 16
1.3.1 Development Concept of Global Energy Interconnection / 16
1.3.2 Sustainable Development Promoted by Northeast Asian Energy
Interconnection / 17
2 Energy and Power Development
Trends and Outlooks / 19
2.1 Energy Demand / 20
2.1.1 Primary Energy / 20
2.1.2 Final Energy / 22
2.2 Power Demand / 25
2.3 Power Supply / 30
3 Development Layout of Clean
Energy Resources / 35
3.1 Distribution of Clean Energy Resources / 36
3.1.1 Hydro Energy / 36
3.1.2 Wind Energy / 36
3.1.3 Solar Energy / 37
3.2 Layout of Clean Energy Bases / 38
3.2.1 Hydropower Bases / 38
3.2.2 Wind Power Bases / 40
3.2.3 Solar Power Bases / 41
4 Power Grid Interconnection / 43
4.1 Power Flow / 44
4.1.1 Balance of Supply and Demand / 44
4.1.2 Power Flow Scheme / 45
4.2 Grid Interconnection / 47
4.2.1 Overall pattern / 47
4.2.2 Interconnection Scheme / 50
4.3 Key Interconnection Projects / 54
4.3.1 Key Projects in Short-Term / 54
4.3.2 Key Projects in Medium- and Long-Term / 56
4.4 Investment Estimation / 58
4.4.1 Investment Estimation Principle / 58
4.4.2 Investment Estimation Results / 59
5 Comprehensive Benefits / 61
5.1 Economic Benefits / 62
5.2 Social Benefits / 62
5.3 Environmental Benefits / 63
5.4 Political Benefits / 65
6 Policy and Mechanism / 67
References / 70