As one of the most dynamic and potential areas of the world's economic development, Southeast Asia is rich in natural resources with a remarkable demographic dividend. In recent years, regional integration has been continuously promoted and its infrastructure has been constantly improved with the upgrading of the industrial structure. However, the region still has more than 30 million people without access to electricity, and electricity consumption per capita is less than half the world average. With the living standard improving and population raising, issues such as energy security, serious environmental pollution, climate crisis, and other serious challenges will occur if the region continuing relies on fossil energy. Therefore, guided by the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, the Paris Agreement, and the ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation 2016-2025, the Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection needs to be built based on the clean energy resources, mineral resources, and human resources to achieve sustainable development. It will promote clean development and provide sustainable energy for all, turn regional energy resources into economic benefits, improve people's livelihood, reduce poverty, as well as narrow the development gap in the region. It will also fundamentally solve the problem of energy supply for regional economic development and enable the coordinated development of economy, society and environment.
1.報(bào)告研究范圍主要覆蓋東南亞十一國(guó),按照地理位置分為中南半島和馬來(lái)群島兩大區(qū)域,研究范圍全面廣泛且具體按照國(guó)別進(jìn)行研究與規(guī)劃,可供相關(guān)國(guó)家政府部門(mén)及學(xué)者進(jìn)行參考。
2.內(nèi)容新穎權(quán)Q威,作者作為國(guó)際認(rèn)可的研究機(jī)構(gòu),所進(jìn)行的相關(guān)研究在國(guó)內(nèi),乃至國(guó)際均為S次提出,填補(bǔ)了研究領(lǐng)域的空白;研究成果為全球相關(guān)資質(zhì)、機(jī)構(gòu)等認(rèn)可
一、前言
Asia, being a large economy, is an important engine for stimulating global economic growth. Most Asian countries are developing countries with huge potential. However, Asia still faces challenges such as economic disparity, energy security, and carbon emissions reduction against climate change.
Therefore, the need for sustainable development in the region is urgent. The core of sustainable development is clean development, of which the key is to promote Clean Replacement on the energy production side, and Electricity Replacement on the energy consumption side. Clean Replacement is to use clean alternatives in energy production, replacing fossil fuels with hydro, solar, and wind energies. Electricity Replacement is to promote electricity consumption by replacing the usage of coal, oil, natural gas and firewood with electricity. Asian Energy Interconnection is a modern energy system which is clean energy-dominated, electricity-centered, interconnected and shared by all. It is an important platform for large-scale exploitation, transmission and utilization of clean energy. Asia should push for an overall balanced development of its economy based on abundant clean energy and mineral resources, and promote low-carbon energy transition. Regional integration and cooperation should be deepened to respond to climate change, and achieve the grand purpose of economic prosperity, social
progress and ecological protection.
Southeast Asia, which is one of the most active economies in the world, is a power demand center of Asia in the future. Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection will give a full play to the role of exchange platforms and mechanisms such as “Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)+X”, and to the geographical advantage of being adjacent to east Asia, South Asia and Oceania. It will facilitate countries in the region to release the potential of their clean energy resources, address development challenges and promote regional economic transformation and upgrading. As an important part of Asian Energy Interconnection, Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection is an overall systematic and innovative solution for energy transition and low-carbon development, which contributes to the overall development of Asian Energy Interconnection.
This report is one of Asian Energy Interconnection research series. The content is divided into 6 chapters: In Chapter 1, the development status of the economy, society, resources, environment, energy and electricity in Southeast Asia is introduced, challenges of sustainable development and energy transition are analyzed, and development ideas of Asian Energy Interconnection are proposed. In Chapter 2, the development trend of energy and power transition in Southeast Asia is prospected with corresponding scenarios to achieve the temperature control target of Paris Agreement. In Chapter 3, the distribution of clean energy resources and the layout of large power generation bases are studied. In Chapter 4, based on the power balance analysis, the overall pattern and interconnection schemes of Southeast Asian power grid interconnection are proposed. In Chapter 5, comprehensive benefits of Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection are evaluated. In Chapter 6, policy and mechanism are proposed to related stakeholders.
This report could provide guidelines for governments, international organizations, energy enterprises, financial institutions, universities and relevant individuals in policy formulation, strategic research, technological innovation, project development, international cooperation, etc. However, there might be inadequacies as limited data and time for research and compilation. Comments and suggestions are welcome for further improvements.、
全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展合作組織(簡(jiǎn)稱(chēng)合作組織),是由致力于推動(dòng)世界能源可持續(xù)發(fā)展的相關(guān)企業(yè)、組織、機(jī)構(gòu)和個(gè)人等自愿組成的國(guó)際組織。注冊(cè)地設(shè)在北京。
合作組織的宗旨是推動(dòng)構(gòu)建全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng),以清潔和綠色方式滿(mǎn)足全球電力需求,推動(dòng)實(shí)現(xiàn)聯(lián)合國(guó)“人人享有可持續(xù)能源”和應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化目標(biāo),服務(wù)人類(lèi)社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
合作組織將積極推廣全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)理念,組織制定全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃,建立技術(shù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)體系,開(kāi)展聯(lián)合技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、重大問(wèn)題研究和國(guó)際交流合作,推動(dòng)工程項(xiàng)目實(shí)施,提供咨詢(xún)服務(wù),引領(lǐng)全球能源互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)展。
Preface
Study Region
Summary
1 New Developing Opportunities for
Southeast Asia / 01
1.1 Economy and Society / 02
1.1.1 Macro Economy / 02
1.1.2 Humanity and Society / 03
1.1.3 Regional Cooperation / 05
1.1.4 Development Strategy / 06
1.2 Energy and Power / 08
1.2.1 Energy Development / 08
1.2.2 Power Development / 11
1.3 Sustainable Development Ideas / 15
1.3.1 Development Concept of Global Energy Interconnection / 15
1.3.2 Southeast Asian Energy Interconnection Promotes Sustainable
Development in the Region / 17
2 Energy and Power Development
Trend and Outlook / 19
2.1 Energy Demand / 20
2.1.1 Primary Energy / 20
2.1.2 Final Energy / 22
2.2 Power Demand / 25
2.3 Power Supply / 30
3 Development Layout of Clean
Energy Resources / 35
3.1 Distribution of Clean Energy Resources / 36
3.1.1 Hydro Energy / 36
3.1.2 Wind Energy / 39
3.1.3 Solar Energy / 39
3.1.4 Geothermal Energy / 40
3.2 Layout of Clean Energy Bases / 41
3.2.1 Hydropower Bases / 41
3.2.2 Wind Power Bases / 42
3.2.3 Solar Power Bases / 42
4 Power Grid Interconnection / 45
4.1 Power Flow / 46
4.1.1 Regional Demand and Supply Balance Analysis / 46
4.1.2 Power Flow / 47
4.2 Power Grid Interconnection / 50
4.2.1 Overall Pattern / 50
4.2.2 Prospect of Interconnection Schemes / 51
4.3 Key Interconnection Projects / 56
4.3.1 Key Inter-Regional and Inter-Continental Projects / 56
4.3.2 Key Regional Projects / 59
4.4 Investment Estimation / 60
4.4.1 Investment Estimation Principle / 60
4.4.2 Investment Estimation Results / 61
5 Comprehensive Benefits / 63
5.1 Economic Benefits / 64
5.2 Social Benefits / 65
5.3 Environmental Benefits / 65
5.4 Political Benefits / 67
6 Policy and Mechanism / 69
References / 72